Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders -10 (67-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Minnerath * | 36 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +6.1 |
| Chris Blake * | 35 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +11.1 |
| Chase Simon * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +10.2 |
| Ray McCallum * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9.3 |
| Eli Holman * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 24 | +14.0 |
| LaMarcus Lowe | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Donavan Foster | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Jason Calliste | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Evan Bruinsma | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N'Gai Evans * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -9.8 |
| Vaughn Duggins * | 37 | 12-17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | -3.9 |
| Cooper Land * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Troy Tabler * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -11.8 |
| Johann Mpondo * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13.2 |
| AJ Pacher | 20 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -1.6 |
| Cole Darling | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Matt Vest | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Vance Hall | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Armond Battle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
* = starter