Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins +9 (72-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Beamon * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 14-14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Demetrius Jemison * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Kidani Brutus * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Andrew Gabriel * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Rhamel Brown * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Michael Alvarado | 33 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Djibril Coulibaly | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Nick Walsh | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.9 |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Coles * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 5-9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -6.1 |
| Gaby Belardo * | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Elton Frazier * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -2.4 |
| Robert Goldsberry * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Greg Logins * | 29 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +0.0 |
| Reggie Groves | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Alshwan Hymes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Chris Manhertz | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Tomas Vazquez-Simmons | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
* = starter