Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -12 (63-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylon Cormier * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Brian Rudolph * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Erik Etherly * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | +3.1 |
| Robert Olson * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +8.4 |
| Shane Walker * | 15 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Justin Drummond | 19 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -3.8 |
| J'hared Hall | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Julius Brooks | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Pierson Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Josh Wiegand | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Nelson * | 40 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | -4.0 |
| Marvin Jordan * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Kashief Edwards * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -2.9 |
| Kevon Moore * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Eric Williams * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Malcolm Lemmons | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Scooter Gillette | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Skylar Jones | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -13.6 |
* = starter