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Harvard Crimson 74
@
Brown Bears 68
2011-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% - ✓
Margin 66.5% 33.5% -3.8 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% - ✓
Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% - ✓

Actual: Brown Bears -6 (68-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. McNally 36 7-13 3-6 3-3 2 4 5 0 0 20 18 -
K. Wright 35 5-8 0-0 2-2 11 4 0 2 4 12 17 -
B. Curry 35 3-9 1-5 2-3 5 3 0 0 3 9 5 -
K. Casey 31 4-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 0 2 9 7 -
C. Webster 30 2-8 1-6 4-4 1 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
L. Rivard 25 4-9 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 12 9 -
M. Brown 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
U. Okam 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Georgatos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McGonagill 39 5-8 2-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 5 12 9 -
P. Sullivan 36 4-10 1-5 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
G. Leffelman 35 1-9 1-3 0-0 7 4 2 1 0 3 8 -
T. Halpern 34 10-15 6-9 3-5 3 5 0 0 3 29 19 -
A. McCarthy 25 3-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 2 2 8 7 -
C. Taylor 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
T. Ponticelli 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Sullivan 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter