Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears -6 (68-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver McNally | 36 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +2.8 |
| Keith Wright | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -0.5 |
| Brandyn Curry | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Kyle Casey | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Christian Webster | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -7.3 |
| Laurent Rivard | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Matt Brown | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Ugo Okam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Jeff Georgatos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McGonagill | 39 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Peter Sullivan | 36 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Garrett Leffelman | 35 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Tucker Halpern | 34 | 10-15 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | +3.0 |
| Andrew McCarthy | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Chris Taylor | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.3 |
| Tyler Ponticelli | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Matt Sullivan | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +1.9 |
| Adrian Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
* = starter