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Model Predictions

Model Cornell Big Red Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Margin 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +18 (84-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Chris Wroblewski * 31 4-10 3-5 3-4 4 7 4 0 3 14 16 +3.5
Miles Asafo-Adjei * 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 +6.0
Errick Peck * 21 3-10 0-4 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 8 2 -12.8
Josh Figini * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -5.6
Jake Matthews * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1.8
Drew Ferry 27 3-9 2-7 2-2 1 0 3 0 1 10 4 +0.5
Mark Coury 22 3-6 0-0 7-9 2 1 0 2 0 13 12 +2.3
Johnathan Gray 20 2-6 1-4 4-5 2 2 0 0 1 9 6 -11.5
Max Groebe 16 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 0 -11.5
Adam Wire 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -10.5
Eitan Chemerinski 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -4.8
Anthony Gatlin 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -1.5
Peter McMillan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5
Jamal Cherry 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -0.4

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Douglas Davis * 35 5-13 5-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 15 4 +17.4
Dan Mavraides * 34 6-11 4-8 1-2 1 6 1 0 5 17 9 +10.4
Ian Hummer * 29 9-11 0-0 2-3 9 4 0 1 3 20 20 +1.4
Patrick Saunders * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 2 7 -4.4
Brendan Connolly * 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 -5.0
Kareem Maddox 29 6-7 0-0 1-1 8 5 2 2 3 13 20 +16.0
Will Barrett 22 2-3 1-2 1-2 5 4 1 0 0 6 13 +13.4
T.J. Bray 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -8.2
Mack Darrow 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 +4.7
Ben Hazel 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 -3.5
Bobby Foley 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.4
Jimmy Sherburne 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 +1.3

* = starter