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2011-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% -
Bradley-Terry 15.0% 85.0% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.3% 71.7% -
Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% -
Log Adjusted 4.6% 95.4% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Weeden * 38 4-9 0-0 1-4 13 0 1 1 1 9 14 -
R.J. Griffin * 35 3-10 1-4 2-4 2 0 2 1 2 9 2 -
T. Melville * 30 3-9 0-0 6-8 5 5 0 0 0 12 13 -
J. Trotter * 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Rufful * 19 3-6 0-1 3-4 0 2 0 0 2 9 3 -
R. Dixon 32 7-16 1-4 3-5 2 0 0 0 1 18 3 -
G. Bertasius 26 4-7 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 0 0 9 10 -
N. Jackson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. LaBove 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Crecco 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mangano * 39 6-12 2-5 2-2 10 0 0 7 1 16 20 -
P. Braswell * 38 5-11 1-4 8-8 3 4 1 0 3 19 13 -
J. Kreisberg * 30 5-7 0-0 4-6 6 3 0 1 1 14 16 -
R. Willhite * 29 3-8 0-3 4-6 11 1 4 1 0 10 19 -
A. Morgan * 26 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 7 4 -
I. Salafia 20 1-4 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
S. Martin 13 0-2 0-2 2-4 2 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
R. Anderson 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Pritchard 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. Grace 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter