Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +4 (79-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clive Weeden * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +10.2 |
| R.J. Griffin * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | +4.4 |
| Tyler Melville * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +10.2 |
| Jabari Trotter * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -0.1 |
| David Rufful * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +5.5 |
| Ronnie Dixon | 32 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Gediminas Bertasius | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Nick Jackson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Matt LaBove | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Kirk Crecco | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.9 |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Mangano * | 39 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 20 | -5.1 |
| Porter Braswell * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | -4.8 |
| Reggie Willhite * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | -3.6 |
| Austin Morgan * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Isaiah Salafia | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Sam Martin | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Rhett Anderson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.7 |
| Jesse Pritchard | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Michael Grace | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.9 |
* = starter