Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -11 (60-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryquis Perine * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | +8.7 |
| Daniel Turner * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Rahmon Fletcher * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +7.3 |
| Alec Brown * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +8.3 |
| Jarvis Williams * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Seth Evans | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Greg LeSage | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | +5.7 |
| Steve Baker | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Kam Cerroni | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Clayton Heuer | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Perry * | 40 | 6-13 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | -5.4 |
| Ashen Ward * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -10.6 |
| Damian Eargle * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 16 | -10.5 |
| Blake Allen * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Vytas Sulskis * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DuShawn Brooks | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -11.1 |
| Tre Brewer | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Dan Boudler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
* = starter