Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Western Carolina Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Western Carolina Catamounts -8 (62-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wells | 38 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | +12.7 |
| Bryan Streeter | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +19.0 |
| Zach Urbanus | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +10.0 |
| Mike Groselle | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +3.6 |
| Austin Dahn | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -0.1 |
| DeVontae Wright | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +11.7 |
| Daniel Eykyn | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +9.1 |
| Cosmo Morabbi | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +5.5 |
| Bo Holston | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Nathan Conley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Sumler | 38 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -17.7 |
| Harouna Mutombo | 36 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -15.2 |
| Mike Williams | 36 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | -14.3 |
| Brandon Boggs | 30 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -18.9 |
| Richie Gordon | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Keaton Cole | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Preston Ross | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Tawaski King | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -8.5 |
* = starter