Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -20 (48-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Polka * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Terrance Hill * | 39 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Geoff McCammon * | 38 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Stanley * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ben Averkamp * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Walt Gibler | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Benkoske | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Denzel Brito | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chim Kadima | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Sterling | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wood * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Erik Buggs * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Cory Johnson * | 28 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Broekhoff * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Howard Little * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Kenney | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jay Harris | 17 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Michael Rogers | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Van Wijk | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Hrvoje Vucic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter