Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers +10 (75-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Horton | 39 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Devan Bailey | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shemik Thompson | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| De'Angelo Speech | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Robby Ptacek | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Joe Efese | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Terrell Allen | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chris Baskerville | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mark LaPorte | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Cadell | 35 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 7-12 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Akeem Bennett | 32 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Stefan Perunicic | 31 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dre Calloway | 31 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Justin Newton | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Akeem Johnson | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Travis Nichols | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Matt Milk | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Milos Trivic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter