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Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Margin 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +6 (94-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Viney * 47 12-21 3-8 3-4 11 1 3 2 4 30 22 +17.8
Ayodeji Egbeyemi * 47 2-4 1-2 1-2 5 5 2 0 2 6 12 +8.4
Vernon Teel * 44 6-15 0-2 5-7 5 3 2 0 5 17 7 +17.4
Anthony Ireland * 42 9-17 2-5 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 21 4 +3.8
Godwin Okonji * 29 1-4 0-0 1-4 6 1 2 2 1 3 9 +3.7
Ashley Hamilton 17 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 5 7 3 +1.9
Tim Diederichs 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1.3
LaRon Armstead 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +1.3
Griffin Reilly 4 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -0.7

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Roquemore * 49 2-4 2-2 8-8 5 6 1 0 3 14 19 -12.3
Marc Trasolini * 43 7-15 0-3 17-20 9 2 0 2 1 31 28 -9.3
Kevin Foster * 40 4-18 1-11 2-2 5 6 1 0 10 11 -5 -1.4
Ben Dowdell * 39 9-15 0-0 8-10 14 0 2 0 4 26 23 -10.3
Troy Payne * 37 4-9 0-0 0-0 12 0 3 1 0 8 15 -0.8
Michael Santos 26 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 2 6 -10.0
Raymond Cowels III 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.9
Niyi Harrison 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -6.0
John McArthur 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.3

* = starter