Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +1 (79-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mychel Thompson * | 42 | 14-30 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 14 | +5.8 |
| Lorne Jackson * | 41 | 7-20 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +11.5 |
| Joshua Lowery * | 39 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Taylor Darby * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +7.0 |
| Corbin Moore * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -2.4 |
| Gus Clardy | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Dane Suttle Jr. | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -0.2 |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelo Caloiaro * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | -8.9 |
| Michael Williams * | 37 | 5-19 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Cody Doolin * | 36 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | -3.9 |
| Rashad Green * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Moustapha Diarra * | 15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Perris Blackwell | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | +1.7 |
| Marko Petrovic | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -7.8 |
| Cole Dickerson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Justin Raffington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter