Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Robert Morris Colonials | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Robert Morris Colonials +8 (65-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Trice * | 38 | 7-20 | 5-12 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | -7.0 |
| Julian Norfleet * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -13.6 |
| Raven Barber * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -16.1 |
| Shawn Atupem * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +5.0 |
| David Golladay * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
| Josh Castellanos | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Danny Thompson | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -13.4 |
| Jean Cajou | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.5 |
| Tayvon Jackson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Jacolby Wells | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -0.5 |
Robert Morris Colonials
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Wallace * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Velton Jones * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Coron Williams * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +19.3 |
| Lawrence Bridges * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +9.6 |
| Lijah Thompson * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Russell Johnson | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +12.2 |
| Anthony Myers-Pate | 26 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Yann Charles | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +8.0 |
* = starter