๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 56.7% 43.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Margin 75.9% 24.1% -6.3 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.7% 40.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.4% 14.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“

Actual: Portland State Vikings -1 (84-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Cherry * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 10 1 0 1 24 38 -
Derek Selvig * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 3 10 16 -
Brian Qvale * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 3 0 16 30 -
Shawn Stockton * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 7 14 -
Art Steward * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 1 2 8 10 -
Kareem Jamar 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 11 -
Mathias Ward 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 14 15 -
Jordan Wood 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chehales Tapscott * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 28 38 -
Charles Odum * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 0 17 28 -
Chris Harriel * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 10 19 -
Phillip Thomas * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 8 8 -
Melvin Jones * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
Phil Nelson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 9 18 -
Dane Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 2 7 -
Nate Lozeau 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Paul Guede 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alonzo Brandon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter