Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -8 (59-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wiley * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +9.3 |
| Deremy Geiger * | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Jeff Ledbetter * | 27 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | +8.7 |
| Shawn Henderson * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +16.9 |
| Luiz Toledo * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +5.1 |
| Kyle Barone | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +9.6 |
| Landon Tatum | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Stephen Madison | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6.0 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olek Czyz * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Dario Hunt * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -5.8 |
| Malik Story * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Deonte Burton * | 31 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -7.4 |
| Jerry Evans, Jr. * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -6.3 |
| Patrick Nyeko | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Derrell Conner | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -8.9 |
| Jordan Burris | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Jordan Finn | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Devonte Elliott | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Kevin Panzer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Marko Cukic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter