Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Kent State Golden Flashes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes +3 (72-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Mulkey * | 37 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +2.6 |
| Zach Filzen * | 37 | 6-20 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | -1 | +0.2 |
| Dave Barnett * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Mitchell Watt * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -12.9 |
| Titus Robinson * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Javon McCrea | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 22 | +14.1 |
| Jarod Oldham | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.8 |
| Jawaan Alston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.5 |
| Tony Watson II | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.5 |
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodriquez Sherman * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Justin Greene * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +11.2 |
| Michael Porrini * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Randal Holt * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +10.7 |
| Justin Manns * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Carlton Guyton | 35 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 21 | +2.0 |
| Eric Gaines | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Mark Henniger | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Darius Leonard | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4.9 |
* = starter