Model Predictions
| Model | Northeastern Huskies | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +6 (67-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaisson Allen * | 38 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +4.7 |
| Kauri Black * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Jonathan Lee * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Joel Smith * | 35 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +8.7 |
| Dinko Marshavelski * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Vinny Lima | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Alex Harris | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -11.4 |
| Alex Bates | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Ben Felix | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Long * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -1.8 |
| Ryan Pearson * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 23 | -8.0 |
| Andre Cornelius * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Mike Morrison * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Isaiah Tate * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -10.9 |
| Luke Hancock | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +6.5 |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 25 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Johnny Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Paris Bennett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.5 |
* = starter