Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +17 (77-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers | 36 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Vernon Taylor | 34 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -8.4 |
| Bernard Toombs | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -11.1 |
| Shawntez Patterson | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Travis Lee | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Steven Cunningham | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4.8 |
| Flynn Clayman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Regis Huddleston | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Levan Patsatsia | 10 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Tim Owens | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +5.4 |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Royster | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +6.5 |
| Raymond Taylor | 30 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Shavar Richardson | 29 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Greg Gantt | 25 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | +6.1 |
| Jordan McCoy | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Alex Tucker | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Kore White | 15 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Dennis Mavin | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Justin Davis | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Pablo Bertone | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Andre Mattison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter