Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Centenary (LA) Ladies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Centenary (LA) Ladies +13 (73-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Lander | 40 | 3-19 | 1-10 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -5 | - |
| Jelani Johnson | 39 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kaimarr Price | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jack Houpt | 29 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Emeka Okafor Jr. | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Abdou Niang | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mael Amenyedzi | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Arsenio Mims | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Centenary (LA) Ladies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxx Nakwaasah | 40 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Leo Davis | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Blount | 31 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Travis Sims | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeron Trotman | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Logan Lowery | 18 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Harwell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Rebol | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Quin Cooper | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Baba Diallo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter