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East Tennessee State Buccaneers 66
@
Campbell Fighting Camels 59
2011-02-24

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers Campbell Fighting Camels Spread Result
Elo 83.9% 16.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 76.9% 23.1% - ✓
Margin 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 85.4% 14.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.2% 38.8% - ✓

Actual: Campbell Fighting Camels -7 (59-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Sollazzo * 40 5-11 0-1 12-13 3 4 2 0 5 22 15 +1.3
Justin Tubbs * 40 4-9 3-7 3-5 3 0 1 0 0 14 9 -1.5
Isiah Brown * 39 7-16 0-0 7-12 8 0 0 0 4 21 9 +2.8
J.C. Ward * 30 1-4 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 2 6 -2.2
Curtis Wilkinson * 22 1-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 -10.1
De'Shaud Johnson 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 +8.7
Lukas Poderis 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 3 6 +1.2

Campbell Fighting Camels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Junard Hartley * 40 5-11 2-4 4-4 2 7 1 0 3 16 12 -1.2
Amir Celestin * 38 7-13 2-5 0-0 0 3 2 0 3 16 5 -5.4
Preston Dodson * 35 5-7 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 12 10 -5.6
Eric Griffin * 28 1-3 0-1 2-4 6 2 0 4 2 4 11 -4.6
Marvelle Harris * 25 0-2 0-0 1-4 4 0 1 3 0 1 7 +2.7
Rico Ferguson 24 3-4 0-0 4-6 1 1 0 0 2 10 6 +8.0
Anthony Horton 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.8
Keishawn Mayes 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.2

* = starter