Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +9 (65-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curry McKinney * | 38 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -4 | -6.3 |
| Jeremy Granger * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | -1.2 |
| James Hollowell * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +7.4 |
| Shaun Pratl * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -8.3 |
| Alfonzo McKinnie * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.2 |
| L.C. Doss | 32 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Zavier Sanders | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Issac Smith III | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Matt Dorlack | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Nick McFarlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Taylor Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Terry * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -1.2 |
| TyShwan Edmondson * | 34 | 3-15 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +8.2 |
| John Fraley * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -1.4 |
| Caleb Brown * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Will Triggs * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +1.3 |
| Tyrone Caldwell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.7 |
| Melvin Baker | 10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Marcel Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Justin Blake | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
* = starter