Model Predictions
| Model | Charleston Cougars | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +15 (85-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charleston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Goudelock * | 37 | 9-20 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 6 | -8.0 |
| Donavan Monroe * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -19.5 |
| Antwaine Wiggins * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -26.6 |
| Trent Wiedeman * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | -19.4 |
| Willis Hall * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -22.6 |
| Andrew Lawrence | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6.4 |
| James Carlton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Jordan Scott | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Sims * | 40 | 11-16 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 27 | +22.7 |
| Omar Carter * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +20.5 |
| Jeremi Booth * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +23.8 |
| Andre Williamson * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +16.3 |
| Marcus Wright * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Nathan Healy | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +15.8 |
| Petey Hausley | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +5.5 |
| Anthony Breeze | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -3.0 |
| Jacob Lail | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Griffin Shaw | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| J.R. Archer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter