Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +1 (56-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayron Hardy * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -10.3 |
| Delwan Graham * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Tevin Galvin * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Travis Cohn * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Russell Powell * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -11.3 |
| Keith McDougald | 25 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +5.2 |
| Glenn Powell | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -14.1 |
| Aloys Cabell | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Keion Palmer | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.6 |
| Chris Rozier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
| Chris Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Banks * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +9.3 |
| Sherwood Brown * | 34 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | +11.3 |
| Christophe Varidel * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +5.2 |
| Marlon Rivera * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Kevin Cantinol * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +9.5 |
| Tim Snyder | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Chase Fieler | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -5.9 |
| Hunter Miller | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Chad Lutkenhaus | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.4 |
* = starter