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Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Margin 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles -4 (56-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Howard * 34 3-9 1-5 8-12 5 2 1 1 1 15 14 +3.5
Erik Rush * 34 2-7 0-3 2-5 4 4 1 0 1 6 7 -5.4
Rod Singleton * 33 3-4 1-2 1-4 1 3 0 0 5 8 3 -10.1
Danny Piepoli * 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.4
Tre Johnson * 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -5.1
Shawn Reid 26 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 8 -4.0
Cody Anderson 22 5-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 11 10 +7.4
Chris McCall 15 3-5 2-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 12 12 +12.2
Jourdain Allou 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -1.5
Casey Trujeque 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 +7.5
Jeff Budinich 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.3

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeffrey Forbes * 33 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 5 -7.4
Glen Dean * 33 4-10 4-7 0-0 1 6 1 0 7 12 3 +3.7
Kevin Winford * 27 1-8 0-6 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -3 +8.6
Laron Griffin * 26 6-9 0-0 0-1 15 2 1 1 1 12 21 +6.2
Cliff Ederaine * 24 2-5 0-0 3-5 8 1 0 0 2 7 9 -3.0
Cliff Colimon 27 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 5 1 -5.3
Tremayne Johnson 25 4-11 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 8 3 -4.7
Rashano McRae 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -4.8

* = starter