Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +6 (58-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Hallam * | 45 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Brian Stafford * | 39 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chris Udofia * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Chase Hallam * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Lewis * | 36 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Noonan | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Thalken | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Justin Coughlin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La'Ryan Gary * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Raymone Andrews * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Travis Bureau * | 34 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| JJ Thomas * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Randell Daigle * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Josh Brown | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Bryant Mbamalu | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| David Perez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javan Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter