Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +9 (96-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Payne * | 48 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | +3.3 |
| Joe Harden * | 39 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Eddie Miller * | 38 | 11-21 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Todd Lowenthal * | 37 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8.1 |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Ryan Howley | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Alex Tiffin | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Josh Ritchart | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +6.9 |
| Tyler Les | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.3 |
| Mike Kurtz | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Rembert * | 45 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Darren Moore * | 44 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Eric Wise * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 27 | +8.9 |
| Pavol Losonsky * | 30 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Daman Starring * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Michael Wilder | 35 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -6.9 |
| Derrick Strings | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Chris McNealy | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Derick Flowers | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter