Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Georgia Southern Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia Southern Eagles -1 (56-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Evans * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 14 | +7.2 |
| Aaron Brackett * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -6.8 |
| Kyle Randall * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5.1 |
| Trevis Simpson * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -5.7 |
| Aloysius Henry * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Brian Cole | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Drew Parker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -12.5 |
| David Williams | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | +1.7 |
| Korey Van Dussen | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8.4 |
| Cody Henegar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Drayton III * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Jelani Hewitt * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +6.0 |
| Zuri James * | 33 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Rory Spencer * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -1.0 |
| Eric Ferguson * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -9.7 |
| Marvin Baynham | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +11.8 |
| Cameron Baskerville | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +8.1 |
| Tre Bussey | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.1 |
| Sam Mike | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter