Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.5% | 16.5% | -8.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -23 (48-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thomas | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 25 | - |
| T. Liston | 0 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 5 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Vernerey | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hartig | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Franklin | 0 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| P. Kellum | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Crosby | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter