Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes -16 (59-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius James * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 33 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Frank Hassell * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Ben Finney * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chris Cooper * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Carter | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trian Iliadis | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Marquel De Lancey | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nick Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Moore * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Denzel Bowles * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Humpty Hitchens * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rayshawn Goins * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ben Louis * | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Julius Wells | 33 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Andrey Semenov | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chad Jackson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter