Model Predictions
| Model | West Virginia Mountaineers | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +13 (71-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mazzulla * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -2.5 |
| Cam Thoroughman * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Darryl Bryant * | 30 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -10.9 |
| Kevin Jones * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -2 | -5.3 |
| John Flowers * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Casey Mitchell | 24 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Dalton Pepper | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Deniz Kilicli | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -12.4 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gibbs * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Brad Wanamaker * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | +1.5 |
| Gary McGhee * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +9.9 |
| Nasir Robinson * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +8.0 |
| Gilbert Brown * | 19 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Tray Woodall | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +15.2 |
| Lamar Patterson | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | +11.3 |
| Dante Taylor | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +0.4 |
| J.J. Richardson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.3 |
* = starter