Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +18 (92-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young * | 37 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 9 | -6.9 |
| Leroy Nobles * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -12.4 |
| Stephen Thomas * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | -1.6 |
| Christian Siakam * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Sean Esposito * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| John Ashworth | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -16.5 |
| Donovan Gibbs | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -10.9 |
| Mitch Patton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -9.6 |
| Anthony Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Morrison * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | +18.4 |
| Steven Roundtree * | 33 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 27 | +19.2 |
| Damen Bell-Holter * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Warren Niles * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Roderick Pearson, Jr. * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Ken Holdman | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +9.8 |
| Kyron Stokes | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Tim Morton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
* = starter