Model Predictions
| Model | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Kansas City Roos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas City Roos -13 (90-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Benson * | 36 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 30 | +5.3 |
| Travis Bader * | 36 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Will Hudson * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | +3.2 |
| Reggie Hamilton * | 28 | 10-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Drew Valentine * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Larry Wright | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +5.0 |
| Ryan Bass | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Ledrick Eackles | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Ilija Milutinovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joey Asbury | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Dibble * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -3.6 |
| Reggie Chamberlain * | 38 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | -3.3 |
| Bakari Lewis * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | -5.3 |
| Max Rockmann * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | -3.9 |
| Spencer Johnson * | 17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -3.3 |
| Michael Gholston Jr. | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -5.4 |
| Trevor Mason | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
* = starter