Model Predictions
| Model | Florida International Panthers | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +7 (80-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida International Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJuan Wright * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Dominique Ferguson * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Phil Gary * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Jeremy Allen * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -8.7 |
| Marvin Roberts * | 19 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -21.4 |
| Eric Frederick | 25 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Phil Taylor | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Stephon Weaver | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.5 |
| Tremayne Russell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Brandon Moore | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steffphon Pettigrew * | 39 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Sergio Kerusch * | 37 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 19 | +0.8 |
| Jamal Crook * | 35 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -2.2 |
| Juan Pattillo * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | +9.6 |
| Caden Dickerson * | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Kahlil McDonald | 31 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 9-11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Teeng Akol | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Mike Gabbard | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Stephon Drane | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter