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Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Margin 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.7% 68.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% - ✓

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +13 (71-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonnie Smith * 33 2-8 2-6 6-8 5 2 0 0 1 12 10 -3.2
Cordarius Johnson * 31 1-10 0-5 0-3 1 1 0 0 1 2 -7 -16.8
Romario Souza * 27 3-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 0 1 8 10 -23.0
Kenyon McNeail * 27 2-6 1-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 7 1 -14.9
Olu Ashaolu * 19 4-8 1-1 0-1 4 0 1 0 4 9 2 -9.8
Tevin Hall 24 1-4 1-2 3-4 2 5 1 0 2 6 8 +6.7
Antwond Roshell 16 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 10 9 +9.1
J.L. Lewis 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -8.6
James Johnson 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 +16.7
C.J. Scott 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 +6.2

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremiah Ostrowski * 33 3-7 2-3 4-4 4 7 2 0 5 12 13 +19.1
Zane Johnson * 32 6-12 3-9 1-1 4 0 2 1 1 16 10 +15.6
Bill Amis * 29 6-9 0-1 6-7 5 1 0 0 1 18 14 +19.0
Valdélicio Joaquim * 28 5-8 0-1 1-4 9 0 2 0 1 11 13 +4.2
Trevor Wiseman * 28 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 4 7 +14.5
Bo Barnes 17 1-4 1-4 4-5 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 -7.2
Bobby Miles 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 1 2 -11.6
Joston Thomas 10 0-2 0-0 2-5 2 0 1 1 2 2 2 -7.8
Douglas Kurtz 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -9.0
Dominick Brumfield 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.7

* = starter