Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -3 (77-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Diaz | 33 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jerron Granberry | 32 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jimmy Williams Jr. | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| David Jeune | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Brad Haugabrook | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Parker Smith | 18 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Matt Sauey | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Will Wilson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Charles McRoy | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Naburgs | 40 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Graham | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luis Jacobo | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ridge Graham | 29 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 5-14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Graeme Radford | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tyshawn Patterson | 24 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Liam McInerney | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Steve Forbes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter