Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans +8 (65-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Williams * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -6.2 |
| Kyle Fogg * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Solomon Hill * | 25 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -20.3 |
| Lamont Jones * | 25 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | -18.1 |
| Jesse Perry * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -7.8 |
| Kevin Parrom | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -10.6 |
| Jamelle Horne | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -6.4 |
| Jordin Mayes | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Brendon Lavender | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
| Alex Jacobson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Kyryl Natyazhko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jio Fontan * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +22.2 |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | +23.6 |
| Donte Smith * | 34 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +22.9 |
| Alex Stepheson * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +23.0 |
| Marcus Simmons * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +9.6 |
| Maurice Jones | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Garrett Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
* = starter