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2011-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% -
Bradley-Terry 5.7% 94.3% -
Margin 78.4% 21.6% -7.1 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -

Actual: USC Trojans +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 36 3-11 0-3 2-2 11 0 0 1 3 8 6 -
K. Fogg * 28 1-6 0-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
S. Hill * 25 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 3 1 -
L. Jones * 25 3-12 2-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 9 -1 -
J. Perry * 18 3-6 0-1 6-8 6 0 0 2 1 12 13 -
K. Parrom 24 4-7 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Horne 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
J. Mayes 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Lavender 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Jacobson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Natyazhko 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fontan * 35 6-12 1-3 8-10 2 3 1 0 2 21 13 -
N. Vucevic * 35 9-17 0-3 7-7 12 0 1 0 0 25 21 -
D. Smith * 34 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -4 -
A. Stepheson * 33 3-6 0-0 6-7 10 0 0 1 1 12 16 -
M. Simmons * 32 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 2 1 3 5 -
M. Jones 26 2-7 0-1 0-1 3 0 3 0 1 4 2 -
G. Jackson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter