Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +13 (92-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Bozeman * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | -11.0 |
| D'Andre Williams * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -17.0 |
| Alex Garcia-Mendoza * | 19 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -8.1 |
| Gus Leeper * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -20.6 |
| Marlon Louzeiro * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -14.0 |
| Chuck Guy | 28 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -12.2 |
| Montrell Thornton | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Matt Mouzy | 20 | 6-15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | -9.7 |
| Eric Kibi | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -12.2 |
| Tramar Sutherland | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Courtney Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyn Cooks * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +18.3 |
| Gary Redus * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | +19.9 |
| Augustine Rubit * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | +18.8 |
| Martino Brock * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 6-11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 18 | +10.0 |
| Javier Carter * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +14.0 |
| Tim Williams | 19 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +11.3 |
| Antione Lundy | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Todd Martin | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.6 |
* = starter