Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Wyoming Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +2 (63-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Washington * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Tom Fow * | 29 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Todd Fletcher * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Michael Lyons * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | -9.8 |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Taylor Stewart | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7.8 |
| Zach Bohannon | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Derek Brooks | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Mike Fitzgerald | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Shawn Hempsey | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Adam Brakeville | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amath M'Baye * | 35 | 11-15 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | +8.5 |
| JayDee Luster * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | +6.4 |
| Pako Cruz * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Djibril Thiam * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Daylen Harrison * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Desmar Jackson | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +11.9 |
| Adam Waddell | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Arthur Bouedo | 14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Joe Hudson | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.9 |
* = starter