Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +2 (67-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Young * | 40 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +7.6 |
| Doug McDermott * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -9.5 |
| Kaleb Korver * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Gregory Echenique * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Jahenns Manigat * | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Darryl Ashford | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Kenny Lawson Jr. | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Josh Jones | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Wayne Runnels | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +12.1 |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ragland * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | -4.4 |
| J.T. Durley * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Graham Hatch * | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Toure' Murry * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Aaron Ellis * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Gabe Blair | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +6.6 |
| Ben Smith | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -4.8 |
| David Kyles | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Garrett Stutz | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -0.5 |
| Demetric Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter