Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dear * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| J. Shunnar * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| H. Humes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Griffin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Wright * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Z. Leahy | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Chadwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Wonnell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Douglas * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - |
| Matt Stainbrook * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Demetrius Ward * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Flenard Whitfield * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Nate Hutcheson * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Alex Wolf | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Pokley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Muhammed Conteh | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Dean | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dan Loney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter