Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -3 (68-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Higgins * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Marcus Relphorde * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | -7.5 |
| Alec Burks * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | +7.0 |
| Nate Tomlinson * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Austin Dufault * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -10.8 |
| Levi Knutson | 30 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Andre Roberson | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Shannon Sharpe | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Ben Mills | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Javon Coney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Roberson * | 38 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +4.1 |
| D'walyn Roberts * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.5 |
| Brad Reese * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +5.6 |
| David Tairu * | 21 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | -0.8 |
| Robert Lewandowski * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Mike Singletary | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +16.1 |
| Jaye Crockett | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Javarez Willis | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8.8 |
| Paul Cooper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Mike Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.4 |
| Wally Dunn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter