Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +5 (60-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Lamb * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Anthony Miles * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Stan Brown * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Donley Minor * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | -2.8 |
| Coy Custer * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +5.5 |
| Mike James | 20 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Charlie Harper | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Kendrick Harris | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | -1.4 |
| Orlando Brazier | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Osas Ebomwonyi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Williams * | 38 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Jordan Glynn * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -6.2 |
| Antonio Bostic * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | -9.7 |
| Jereal Scott * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | -1.3 |
| P. Gardner * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Denzel Barnes | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +6.7 |
| Dion Prewster | 16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +7.7 |
| Mark Gomillia | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +4.7 |
* = starter