Model Predictions
| Model | DePaul Blue Demons | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +25 (76-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
DePaul Blue Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Melvin * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Jeremiah Kelly * | 28 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -17.5 |
| Jimmy Drew * | 28 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -7.4 |
| Krys Faber * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -17.2 |
| Brandon Young * | 22 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -8.7 |
| Tony Freeland | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -4.9 |
| Michael Bizoukas | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Moses Morgan | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2.3 |
| Mario Stula | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Mike Stovall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Edwind McGhee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Joe Belcaster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Hardy * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +14.2 |
| Paris Horne * | 27 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +18.0 |
| Justin Brownlee * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +5.1 |
| D.J. Kennedy * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +13.7 |
| Dwayne Polee II * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +10.7 |
| Justin Burrell | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +20.3 |
| Malik Boothe | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +10.0 |
| Sean Evans | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4.6 |
| Malik Stith | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -16.1 |
| Dele Coker | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Cameron Edison | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Jamal White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Kevin Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
* = starter