Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -1 (63-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Ellis | 32 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +15.8 |
| Devon Baker | 32 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +13.4 |
| Will Pratt | 25 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Shamir Davis | 25 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -0.9 |
| William Mosley | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | +4.1 |
| James Hulbin | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Dominic Knight | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Logan McConathy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| O.J. Evans | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Gary Stewart | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Patrick Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.2 |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Pevehouse | 38 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Drae Murray | 36 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -13.2 |
| Gilberto Clavell | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 10 | -7.5 |
| Josten Crow | 30 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | -6.1 |
| Nafis Richardson | 24 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | -9.5 |
| Antuan Bootle | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Marcus James | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.2 |
* = starter