Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -1 (93-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hansbrough * | 39 | 10-13 | 3-5 | 9-11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 22 | -7.2 |
| Tyrone Nash * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | -4.9 |
| Scott Martin * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -10.6 |
| Carleton Scott * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -2.8 |
| Tim Abromaitis * | 32 | 11-16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | -0.7 |
| Eric Atkins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -11.2 |
| Jack Cooley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Joey Brooks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarShon Brooks * | 40 | 20-28 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 33 | +19.7 |
| Vincent Council * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | +14.4 |
| Gerard Coleman * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +12.6 |
| Duke Mondy * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +19.5 |
| Kadeem Batts * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Bilal Dixon | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Bryce Cotton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Ray Hall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.9 |
| Ron Giplaye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Dre Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.3 |
* = starter