Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Bucknell Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bucknell Bison +17 (72-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Knutson * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -14.5 |
| Mackey McKnight * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -5.6 |
| Holden Greiner * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -18.7 |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -14.0 |
| CJ McCollum | 35 | 6-16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Prentice Small | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.6 |
| Kevin McCarthy | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Rob Keefer | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Michael Ojo | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.3 |
| John Adams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Anthony D'Orazio | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| David Safstrom | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.7 |
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Cohen * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | +18.4 |
| Darryl Shazier * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +15.6 |
| Mike Muscala * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +16.5 |
| Joe Willman * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +12.4 |
| Bryson Johnson * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +9.5 |
| Cameron Ayers | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -10.2 |
| G.W. Boon | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Enoch Andoh | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Ben Brackney | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Ryan Hill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Colin Klebon | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Probese Leo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Stephen Tyree | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
* = starter