Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +15 (64-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Higgins * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Brandon Bowdry * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | -0.2 |
| Antonio Green * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +11.5 |
| Jamell Harris * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.1 |
| J.R. Sims * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Kamil Janton | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13.5 |
| Derek Thompson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -17.2 |
| Darrell Lampley | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kenny Stewart | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Adrian Burton | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Quintin Dailey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Matt Balkema | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Jones * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 23 | +10.2 |
| Jauwan Scaife * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +5.5 |
| Malik Perry * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Randy Davis * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +4.3 |
| Chris Bond * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Jesse Berry | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | +3.8 |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Tyrae Robinson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Pierre Sneed | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Zach Fields | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter