Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra Pride | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -7 (64-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jenkins * | 40 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Mike Moore * | 39 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Greg Washington * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | +5.7 |
| David Imes * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | -2.2 |
| Brad Kelleher * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Yves Jules | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Matt Grogan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Stephen Nwaukoni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Tomko * | 40 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | +3.3 |
| Keith Rendleman * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +0.1 |
| Darryl Felder * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Ahmad Grant * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Matt Wilson * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Donte Morales | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Trevor Deloach | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Tanner Milson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -2.6 |
* = starter