Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2 (82-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralston Turner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Storm Warren * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Andre Stringer * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Malcolm White * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Dotson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Garrett Green | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Chris Bass | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Ludwig | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Daron Populist | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Riley Benock * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kodi Augustus * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 34 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Ravern Johnson | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter