๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (51-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allen Payne * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 6 8 -
Josh Wallace * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 6 7 -
Earnest Ross * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 13 -
Kenny Gabriel * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 2 4 7 12 -
Adrian Forbes * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 1 7 12 -
Tony Neysmith 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 6 9 -
Chris Denson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Rob Chubb 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Josh Langford 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
Ty Armstrong 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JaMychal Green * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 4 2 17 26 -
Trevor Releford * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 4 4 -
Tony Mitchell * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 8 13 -
Chris Hines * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 2 1 6 18 -
Charvez Davis * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Andrew Steele 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 5 7 10 -
Senario Hillman 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
Charles Hankerson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Ben Eblen 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter